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November Stats Don't Tell the Whole Story


The numbers aren't pretty for Sellers as compared with the past two years, with 24 months of inventory in West Vancouver and East and West Vancouver houses sitting at 13 months inventory. Listingss haven't been increasing drastically however, it is sales that have slowed and with it prices have seen a modest drop which is averaging around 5% overall.  Single family West Side homes have seen the greatest price adjustments, down up to 20% from the highs of 2017 in some cases.  The bulk of the market where most activity takes place--that is condos and townhomes-- has seen a balancing since June and the result is a return to more normal conditions.  Buyers can shop around and write offers with proper due diligence contingencies like home inspection.  This is a perfect market for financially qualified first time buyers and move up buyers who can likely get an accepted subject to sale offer accepted.

Below are the statistics for November sales averages.  They do not tell the whole story though.  For example the West Side condo market under $600,000. actually has only 4 months of supply: 136 active listings and 31 sales in November and half of these listings are priced between $550K and $600K.  At the entry level of the market there is still competition but far less than we have seen since 2012.  With interest rates likely to rise again in March, saavy buyers will see December and January as an opportunity to buy without competition and below the 10 historical average for activity.  Waiting for a bottom is a tricky game.  We can't see it until it has passed and the market is on the way up.  

 

 sales and listings statistics houses townhouses and apartments for november 2018

 

skyline



Larger Inventory of Homes Has Increased Choices For Buyer


Finally, a good supply of properties in the market for Buyers to choose from, and, Buyers are facing less competition than they have in the past couple of years.  This is a GREAT time to buy!

 

 

Slow housing sales boosting supply: BCREA

 

Overall housing market now balanced, but this varies between home types and areas, says BCREA

 

 

 

 

 

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A slow October for residential real estate sales across the province has led to an overall balanced market and a “much-needed” increase in available homes for sale, according to the latest monthly statistics from the B.C. Real Estate Association.

In total, 6,405 homes traded hands on the MLS last month, which is 26.2 per cent lower than October last year. However, that total is a jump of 14.9 per cent compared with the even slower month of September 2018, as the market picked up some fall activity.

Of the 12 B.C. real estate boards, only B.C. Northern –  which takes in the entire northern two-thirds of the province including Prince George and the booming Kitimat – posted a year-over-year increase in home sales last month.

The BCREA said that average home sale price across the province in October was $690,161. That is a decline of 4.1 per cent from October 2017, but a slight month-over-month increase of 0.6 per cent, or $4,412. Only three boards reported an annual price decline, but as one of them was Greater Vancouver, that pulled down the provincial average sale price.

BCREA

The BCREA maintained its stance that mortgage “stress testing” introduced this year was to blame for the slowdown in housing demand. “The B.C. housing market continued to grapple with tougher mortgage qualifications in October,” said Cameron Muir, BCREA’s chief economist. “However, more moderate consumer demand has led to a much-needed increase in the supply of homes for sale.”

The total number of homes listed for sale as of the end of October was up nearly 30 per cent year over year to 36,195 units. The BCREA’s report said, “While the B.C. housing market exhibited balanced conditions overall in October, market conditions do vary between regions and by product type.”

The B.C. boards still in seller’s market territory (above 20 per cent sales-to-active-listings ratios) are Vancouver Island (30.9 per cent), Victoria (29.2 per cent), Powell River (27.7 per cent), B.C. Northern (22.5 per cent) and Kamloops (21.5 per cent). At the other end of the scale, the smaller regions of South Okanagan and Northern Lights are both in overall buyer’s markets. All the other B.C. regions, including Greater Vancouver and the Fraser Valley, are currently in balanced market conditions.

However, even within those markets, conditions differ between home types – for example, detached houses in Greater Vancouver are in a buyer’s market while condos are bordering seller’s market conditions.

Despite the overall market downturn, the BCREA has issued a series of optimistic sales forecasts asserting that the market will recover over the next six months.

Glacier Media Real Esta

 

 

 



Watch Out For Changes To Home Equity Lines of Credit


A quiet rule change will make it tougher for Canadians with a HELOC to get a second mortgage

 



October Sales almost 27% below 10 year average


 

October 2018 Media Stats Package

Infographic-October2018-portal

Home listings at four-year October high as sales remain below typical levels

Home sale activity across Metro Vancouver* remained below long-term historical averages in October.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 1,966 in October 2018, a 34.9 per cent decrease from the 3,022 sales recorded in October 2017, and a 23.3 per cent increase compared to September 2018 when 1,595 homes sold.

Last month’s sales were 26.8 per cent below the 10-year October sales average.

“The supply of homes for sale today is beginning to return to levels that we haven’t seen in our market in about four years,” Phil Moore, REBGV president said. “For home buyers, this means you have more selection to choose from. For sellers, it means your home may face more competition, from other listings, in the marketplace.”

There were 4,873 detached, attached and apartment homes newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in October 2018. This represents a 7.4 per cent increase compared to the 4,539 homes listed in October 2017 and a 7.7 per cent decrease compared to September 2018 when 5,279 homes were listed.

The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 12,984, a 42.1 per cent increase compared to October 2017 (9,137) and a 0.8 per cent decrease compared to September 2018 (13,084).

For all property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for October 2018 is 15.1 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 10.3 per cent for detached homes, 17.3 per cent for townhomes, and 20.6 per cent for condominiums.

Generally, analysts say that downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below the 12 per cent mark for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“Home prices have edged down between three and five per cent, depending on housing type, in our region since June,” said Moore. “This is providing a little relief for those looking to buy compared to the all-time highs we’ve experienced over the last year.”

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential homes in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,062,100. This represents a one per cent increase over October 2017 and a 3.3 per cent decrease over the last three months.

Sales of detached homes in October 2018 reached 637, a 32.2 per cent decrease from the 940 detached sales recorded in October 2017. The benchmark price for detached properties is $1,524,000. This represents a 5.1 per cent decrease from October 2017 and a 3.9 per cent decrease over the last three months.

Sales of apartments reached 985 in October 2018, a 35.7 per cent decrease compared to the 1,532 sales in October 2017. The benchmark price of an apartment property is $683,500. This represents a 5.8 per cent increase from October 2017 and a 3.1 per cent decrease over the last three months.

Attached homes sales in October 2018 totalled 344, a 37.5 per cent decrease compared to the 550 sales in October 2017. The benchmark price of an attached home is $829,200. This represents a 4.4 per cent increase from October 2017 and a 2.8 per cent decrease over the last three months.

*Editor’s Note:

Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Whistler, Sunshine Coast, Squamish, West Vancouver, North Vancouver, Vancouver, Burnaby, New Westminster, Richmond, Port Moody, Port Coquitlam, Coquitlam, Pitt Meadows, Maple Ridge, and South Delta.

The real estate industry is a key economic driver in British Columbia. In 2017, 35,993 homes changed ownership in the Board’s area, generating $2.4 billion in economic spin-off activity and an estimated 17,600 jobs. The total dollar value of residential sales transacted through the MLS® system in Greater Vancouver totalled $37 billion in 2017.



September Sales Video from REBGV



99% of Single Family Lots Approved For Duplex Zoning


City of Vancouver Council have approved changes to the zoning of almost all RS zones from single family to duplex.  Shaughnessy between 37th ave and 49th ave and Cypress to Granville are exempt.

Read the story here

 

modern duplex



Cedar Cottage and Kitsilano Zoning Changes Proposed by C.O.V.


Tuesday September 18th, 3:00 at City Hall, hearing to discuss changes to RT-7 and RT-8 zones to allow suites withing duplexes and laneway homes:

Visit COV's web page:  



August Statistics from Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver


Home buyer demand stays below historical averages in August

The Metro Vancouver* housing market continues to experience reduced demand across all housing types.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 1,929 in August 2018, a 36.6 per cent decrease from the 3,043 sales recorded in August 2017, and a 6.8 per cent decline compared to July 2018 when 2,070 homes sold.

Last month’s sales were 25.2 per cent below the 10-year August sales average.

“Home buyers have been less active in recent months and we’re beginning to see prices edge down for all housing types as a result,” Phil Moore, REBGVpresident said. “Buyers today have more listings to choose from and face less competition than we’ve seen in our market in recent years.”

There were 3,881 detached, attached and apartment homes newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in August 2018. This represents an 8.6 per cent decrease compared to the 4,245 homes listed in August 2017 and an 18.6 per cent decrease compared to July 2018 when 4,770 homes were listed.

The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 11,824, a 34.3 per cent increase compared to August 2017 (8,807) and a 2.6 per cent decrease compared to July 2018 (12,137).

The sales-to-active listings ratio for August 2018 is 16.3 per cent. By housing type, the ratio is 9.2 per cent for detached homes, 19.4 per cent for townhomes, and 26.6 per cent for apartments.

Generally, analysts say that downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below the 12 per cent mark for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“With fewer buyers active in the market, benchmark prices across all three housing categories have declined for two consecutive months across the region,” Moore said.

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,083,400. This represents a 4.1 per cent increase over August 2017 and a 1.9 per cent decrease since May 2018.

Sales of detached properties in August 2018 reached 567, a 37.1 per cent decrease from the 901 detached sales recorded in August 2017. The benchmark price for detached properties is $1,561,000. This represents a 3.1 per cent decrease from August 2017 and a 2.8 per cent decrease since May 2018.

Sales of apartment properties reached 1,025 in August 2018, 36.5 per cent decrease compared to the 1,613 sales in August 2017. The benchmark price of an apartment property is $695,500. This represents a 10.3 per cent increase from August 2017 and a 1.6 per cent decrease since May 2018.

Attached property sales in August 2018 totalled 337, a 36.3 per cent decrease compared to the 529 sales in August 2017. The benchmark price of an attached unit is $846,100. This represents a 7.9 per cent increase from August 2017 and a 0.8 per cent decrease since May 2018.

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August statistics


 

Sales have slackened and prices are adjusting down.  We are very likely approaching one of those rare Vancouver good time to buy cycles which we haven't seen since about 2012

Here are the numbers at the end of August

sales and listings statistics houses townhouses condos for august 2018

 



Recently Sold Listing 6e - 139 Drake Street, Vancouver, BC


R2269150 - 6e - 139 Drake Street, Vancouver, BC, CANADAI have just recently sold this listing at 6e - 139 Drake Street, Vancouver.