Knowledge, Integrity, Humour

May 2024 Real Estate Market Update


From Greater Vancouver Realtors:

 

Metro Vancouver home sales down in May while inventory continues to increase

 

VANCOUVER, BC – June 4, 2024 – The number of transactions on the Multiple Listing

Service® (MLS®) declined in May compared to what is typical for this time of year in Metro

Vancouver1. This shift has allowed the inventory of homes available for sale to continue to

accumulate with over 13,000 homes now actively listed on the MLS® in the region.

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)2 reports that residential sales in the region totalled

2,733 in May 2024, a 19.9 per cent decrease from the 3,411 sales recorded in May 2023. Last

month’s sales total was also down 19.6 per cent from the 10-year seasonal average for May

(3,398).

“The surprise in the May data is that sales have come in softer than what we’d typically

expect to see at this point in the year, while the number of newly listed homes for sale is

carrying some of the momentum seen in the April data,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of

economics and data analytics said. “It’s a natural inclination to chalk these trends up to one

factor or another, but what we’re seeing is a culmination of factors influencing buyer and

seller decisions in the market right now. It’s everything from higher borrowing costs, to worries

about the economy, to policy interventions imposed by various levels of government.”

There were 6,374 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the

MLS® in Metro Vancouver in May 2024. This represents a 12.6 per cent increase compared to

the 5,661 properties listed in May 2023 and a seven per cent increase compared to the 10-year

seasonal average (5,958).

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro

Vancouver is 13,600, a 46.3 per cent increase compared to May 2023 (9,293). This total is also

up 19.9 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (11,344).

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio

for May 2024 is 20.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 16.8 per cent for detached homes,

25.1 per cent for attached, and 22.5 per cent for apartment properties.

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the

ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience

upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“With market trends now tilting back toward more balanced conditions, as the number of

new listings outpaces the number of sales, we should expect to see slower price growth over

the coming months,” Lis said. “Up until recently, prices were climbing modestly across all

market segments. But with rising inventory levels and softening demand, buyers who’ve been

waiting for an opportunity might have more luck this summer, even if borrowing costs remain

elevated.”

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark price3 for all residential properties in

Metro Vancouver is currently $1,212,000. This represents a 2.3 per cent increase over May

2023 and a 0.5 per cent increase compared to April 2024.

Sales of detached homes in May 2024 reached 846, an 18.9 per cent decrease from the 1,043

detached sales recorded in May 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is

$2,062,600. This represents a 5.9 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 1.3 per cent increase

compared to April 2024.

Sales of apartment homes reached 1,338 in May 2024, a 22.7 per cent decrease compared to

the 1,730 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $776,200. This

represents a 2.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.3 per cent decrease compared to

April 2024.

Attached home sales in May 2024 totalled 523, a 14 per cent decrease compared to the 608

sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,145,500. This represents a 5.2

per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.9 per cent increase compared to April 2024.

 

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